Archive for November, 2010

Tuesday, November 16, 2010

Non-Governmental Organizations: the Crackdown continues

Anyone who has  ever worked to set up a company or any other kind of organization in China – commercial or non-profit – will know that to establish a reliable and calculable legal basis is a challenging task. This, among others, is probably what state chief councillor Wen Jiabao was referring to in summer, when he said that

[...] when China wants to establish a democratic country ruled by law [or a country with law and order - 中国要建立一个民主和法治的国家 (fǎ zhì)], the so-called rule by law means that after a political party took power, it should act in accordance with the constitution and the law, the party’s will and positions must be turned into constitutional and lawful provisions by rightful procedures, and the ways of organizing must be enacted in compliance with the constitution and the law – only that can be called a country governed in accordance with the law (依法治国, yī fǎ zhì guó).

That, however, seems to reflect Wen Jiabao’s personal opinion, rather than that of the CCP in general – and even when it comes to Wen’s own position, D. S. Rajan, the Chennai Centre for China Studies‘ director, voiced skepticism. The CCP may prefer to avoid obvious breach of law these days, but has developed a liking for using administrative means instead in processing its shitlists. Additional tax demands have apparently become a hot option for the Chinese authorities to have disliked organizations close down.

It's just a Tax Issue

No, no - it's nothing political. It's just a Tax Issue.

The Open Constitution Initiative faced closure in July 2009, after a demand of tax-related payments which apparently broke the organization’s neck. Generally, administrative procedures seem to be more frequently used in recent years,  in lieu of outright crackdowns.

An AIDS support group in Beijing, managed by Zeng Jinyan (曾金燕), seems to be another organization in the row of organizations in China targeted by – apparently both local and national – Chinese authorities. In a blogpost on November 11, Ms Zeng wrote on her blog that the organization, Beijing Love Source Information Centre, was

under investigation from both national and local tax bureaus. [...] In order to keep damages to the minimum, I, as the legal representative of Beijing Loving Source, hereby announce the formal closure of the Centre.  [Translation by C. A. Yeung, UnderTheJacaranda - more details and a link to Ms Zeng's blogpost there.]

Ms Zeng is married to Hu Jia, who co-founded the organization and is currently in prison.

Ms Yeung wrote today that

things don’t look good for Jinyan. She is very worried but doesn’t know what can be done. She’s been threatened with arrest. It’s also been suggested to her that her family will be put under strict house arrest once Hu Jia is released. (similar to what is happening now to the blind activist Chen Guangcheng). Even Hu Jia’s younger sister has been barred from leaving the country. At the moment, I and other friends of hers are still keeping in touch with her on a regular basis but we don’t know how long this can last, as both phone and Internet communications are intermittently cut off.

Ms Yeung will post more information as it comes in.

Monday, November 15, 2010

News in Brief: from China and its Tributary States

A professional model undresses herself (in Chengdu, China), and a professional business newsman unmasks himself (in Seoul, Korea).

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Related
芮成钢到底可以代表谁的声音, Fenghuang Net, Nov. 15, 2010
“Constantly being Interpreted”, CNTV, Nov. 13, 2010

Sunday, November 14, 2010

Press Review: Aung San Suu Kyi released

1. Russia Today

Footage from Daw Aung San Suu Kyi‘s Home, Russia Today – click on the picture to watch the video.

Still loving Su, Russia Today footage, November 13, 2010

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2. China National Radio (CNR)

CNR, directly or indirectly, quotes from three Chinese sources or papers which covered the run-up to Aung San Suu Kyi’s relase some time before it happened: Xinhua, Southern Metropolis Daily, and Huanqiu Shibao.  The links inserted throughout the translation were no part of the original article in Chinese.

Aung San Suu Kyi was in Prison for 15 of the past 21 Years

[Link to the CNR article] Myanmar’s multi-party nationwide elections began on November 7 at 6.00 hours, and successfully ended at 16.00 hours local time. They were the first multi-party elections in 20 years, they constitute the fifth step on Myanmar’s seven-steps roadmap to democracy, and they are important elections in the implementation of the transformation of military into elected government.

Union Solidarity and Development Party with best Chances to Win

Myanmar has almost 60 million inhabitants, and there are more than 29 million voters [eligible to vote]. According to Myanmar’s Federal Election Commission, there were 40,000 polling stations. At 4.00 p.m., the elections were successfully concluded, and each polling station immediately started counting the votes.

Until yesterday, 23.00 hours, a number of ballots from Rangoon and Taunggyi show the Union Solidarity and Development Party is in the lead at this stage. Officials said that the official election results will be announced in a few days.

According to an earlier announcement by Myanmar’s Federal Election Commission, more than 3,000 candidates nominated by 37 political parties and 82 independent candidates ran for the more than 1,000 seats in Federal Parliament and provincial parliaments. The political party with most candidates is incumbent prime minister Thein Sein’s Union Solidarity and Development Party, with 1,112 candidates for parliamentary seats at all levels. Analysts believe that the party has an advantage in resources from its position in office (巩发党具有执政资源优势), and also has more candidates, and that therefore, there isn’t much uncertainty that it will gain most seats. The Union Solidarity and Development Party’s biggest competitor is the National Unity Party which nominated almost 1,000 candidates for seats on all levels.

Before election day, the election ralleyes weren’t large-scale, and the candidates’ campaigning mainly took place in their respective constituencies. Also, the participating political parties were allowed one or two 15-minutes campaign speeches on radio and television, and the full speeches were published in official newspapers.

President to be elected after 90 Days

The current elections were based on the “Constitution of the Federal Republic of Myanmar”, as passed in the 2008 referendum. Within ninety days after the elections, the parliament will have its first session, a president and vice president will be elected, a government be formed, and the military government will, on this occasion, transfer power to the new government.

The new constitution prescribes that the president will be the head of state and of the government, and serve as the chairman of the national defense and security commission, where the commanders of the services [三军总司令, referring to army, air force, and the navy] are members. (…) The military will continue to have an effect on national politics, as a quarter of the parliament members on all levels will not be elected, but be appointed by the commanders of the services.

The new constitution clearly stipulates that Myanmar’s political system will be a multi-party system, with a market economy as its economic system, that it pursues an independent, active, alliance-free diplomacy, and that it doesn’t allow foreign countries to establish military bases.

– according to Xinhua Newsagency

Personalities
Having missed the Elections, Aung San Suu Kyi may be released

According to the new election law published this year, Aung San Suu Kyi, currently under house arrest, couldn’t take part in the elections. But she will probably be released after the elections.

According to the new election law, published on March 10 this year, political parties established in accordance with the law weren’t allowed to admit persons serving a sentence, religious figures, or members of the civil service.  Thus, still under house arrest, Aung San Suu Kyi missed the elections. She had announced that she had no plans to cast her vote, and the National League for Democracy led by her also wouldn’t take part in the elections.

At the end of October, Myanmar’s foreign minister U Nyan Win said at a  ASEAN foreign ministers’ dinner that Aung San Suu Kyi’s house arrest would end on November 13, and that if she didn’t violate the law, she would be released. Earlier rumors had also said that her house arrest period would end by mid-November. Aung San Suu Kyi earlier said through her lawyer that once released, she hoped to set up a Twitter account to stay in touch with internet friends (和网友保持接触).

Aung San Suu Kyi led the National League for Democracy to victory in the 1990 elections and could have served as prime minister, but the military government nullified the elections. She refused a deal (交换条件) with the government according to which she would have been expelled from Myanmar and was imprisoned for fifteen out of the past 21 years. *)

– according to Southern Metropolis Daily

Observations
High Military Officials remain central forces in new government

To form a political party and to participate in the elections, the prime minister and several ministers shed their uniforms some months ago and retired from the military and in accordance with Myanmar customs, no longer used the “U” [the foreign minister, for example, who reportedly resigned his military function as major general  during spring this year, wouldn't be referred to as U Nyan Win any more, but as Nyan Win instead -- JR].  For the elections and a smooth transition of power, the Myanmar military conducted the most comprehensive personnel restructurings to date.  The leaders ranking third and fifth in national leadership also resigned their military posts to run in the elections.

But large shares of public opinion believe that with these elections, Myanmar can’t get rid of the military’s influence. As Myanmar’s top leader so far, Tan Shwe, will maintain influence of his own on the country, even though he was no candidate in the elections.

A member of the Myanmar media who didn’t want to be named told this reporter: “Apart from U Thein Sein, two war office leaders [names unknown to me - 明苏 and 金沙, apparently both in the rank of lieutenant general] will be central forces in the new government, and the territorial army’s commander [丁吴] will be U Thein Sein’s strong supporter.” These power-wielding generals aren’t actually “recalcitrant”, as the outside world often imagines. [丁吴] for example publicly suggested on a high-level meeting of the government last year that it would be no harm if 30 to 40 per cent of parliament seats were oppositional (让反对派在议会席位中占30%到40%也无妨). Former Rangoon military district commander and now [unknown name and function -- JR] won the support of Myanmar’s business circles as his ways of thought were “really open” (非常开放), acknowledging that Myanmar couldn’t by any means “separate itself from the world” in the future.

“The military’s influence on Myanmar’s society is higher than outsiders from elsewhere can imagine. To put on the uniform is the ideal of many young Burmese, and  such an influence can’t be eliminated within one or two generations”, a local person told this reporter.

The outside world reckons that after the elections, 77-year-old Than Shwe will transfer his military powers to younger generals, but few believe that he will hand over much of the power immediately after the elections. Aung Zaw, the founding editor of a Myanmar paper published in Thailand, The Irrawaddy, says: “I don’t think he’d happily retire. He will try hard to hold on to power. That’s because he is concerned about his own future.” There are analysts who believe that, if the parties supported by the military win, he could serve as state chairman **).

– according to Huanqiu Shibao

History

In 1988, after several months of political turmoil, the Myanmar military takes control of state power and abolishes the constitution in effect at the time

In 1993, the military government convenes a national assembly and starts the process of writing a constitution.

In 2003, the military government advances a seven-point roadmap for national reconciliation and the advancement of democracy, and in 2004, the national assembly, after having been suspended for eight years, is resumed to draft the constitution.

In 2007, the assembly completes its mission.

In 2008, the “Constitution of the Federal Republic of Myanmar” is accepted in a referendum.

Editor in charge [for compiling the China National Radio press review]: Lu Linqiang (路林强)

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3. Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (FAZ)

The Risk in the Release

Nov. 14, 2010 By releasing Aung San Suu Kyi, the Burmese military government takes a risk. Although the Peace Nobel Prize laureate is “only” a private person who stands for a group which no longer counts as a political party (the National League for Democracy). But that didn’t keep thousands from jubilantly greeting her in front of her home.

And noone will believe that the Lady will now retire to an individual life. She will want to become politically active. Her voice will be heard in a country that for decades has only known times of very harsh and times of less harsh suppression.

The people want change. That will be difficult. But Aung San Suu Kyi’s initial words are evidence of long-sightedness. She called for unity. Anything else would be counter-productive and would probably lead to the democratic oppostion splitting up. In that case, the risk of releasing her would pay  for the generals.

(Peter Sturm, FAZ)

Notes
*) A translation of 遭囚 (zāo qiú) could be to be as unfortunate to be imprisoned, or to endure imprisonment.
**) or “president” – however, the Chinese characters here are 国家主席 (guójiā zhǔxí).

Saturday, November 13, 2010

You are Quite Probably a Fenqing, …

rainy weekend

... if your weekend sucks, just "because the weather is so bad"

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Related
Yes you can (stop farting), August 20, 2009

Saturday, November 13, 2010

Beijing Loving Source Information Center Closes Down

Hu Jia may be released from jail sometime within the coming eight months – but before that (hopefully) happens, the authorities appear to be making a lot of preparations for the activist’s smooth and harmonious return to life outside prison.

Beijing Loving Source Information Center (北京爱源信息咨询中心), an AIDS support group founded by Hu Jia before his imprisonment, and managed by his wife Zeng Jinyan during the past years, closes down, apparently under the pressures of official suspicion and harassment of activists and groups that take on sensitive subjects.

C. A. Yeung, Under The Jacaranda, provides a translation of Ms Zeng’s announcement of November 11 to close Beijing Loving Source, with some background information.

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Related
The “Taxman” Cometh, July 20, 2009

Saturday, November 13, 2010

Martial Arts, Asian Games 2010

The first East Asian Games medal, not unexpectedly, went to Yuan Xiaochao (袁晓超), from Shanxi Province, at the mens’ Changquan finals on Saturday. Changquan (长拳) emphasizes fully extended kicks and striking techniques, and by appearance would be considered a long-range fighting system. Daisuke Ichikizaki (Japan) and Peyghambari Ehsan (Iran) won the silver and bronze medals.

Xiao had won a gold medal previously at the Asian Games in Doha, in 2006, and another in a Wushu tournament conducted during the Olympic Games 2008. China Radio International (CRI) also cites him as a gold medal winner at the Beijing tournament 2008, but points out that the 2008 tournament was no Olympic event. According to the International Wushu Federation, the Wushu Tournament Beijing 2008 was staged in Beijing from August 21 to 24, 2008, and the IWUF was the organizer in charge.

This video is part of the 2008 tournament coverage – it may take a while to load.

The elementary routine can be found here.

Related
“Most of the local attention was on Wushu”, Associated Press (AP), November 13

Friday, November 12, 2010

Nanjing, Jiangsu Province: Paying their Respects

Sun Yat-sen, a Chinese revolutionary and political leader, was born on November 12, 1886. A Xinhua article, republished by Enorth, reports that

November 12 is the 144th anniversary of revolutionary pioneer Sun Zhongshan’s [孙中山 / Sūn Zhōngshān] *) birthday. On this special day, entry to the Sun-Yat-sen Mausoleum in Nanjing is free.

The mausoleum had started taking entry fees in 1993, writes Xinhua, but was open to the public free of charge on Friday. The article seems to suggest that Friday was only the first of two or several days of admission-free entry. Daily opening hours are from 08:30 to 17:00 hours.

The article refers to Sun’s birthday as 诞辰 (dàn chén), which is a rather formal and respectful expression. A visitor from Nanjing is quoted as paying his respects (瞻仰, zhānyǎng).

Are you in a festive mood today, Mr President?

Are you in a festive mood today, Mr President?

But the article’s actual issue is Taiwan:

Zhongshan Mausoleum management director Wang Pengshan (王鹏善) explains that since 2001, the site has held several cross-strait youth summer camps, to play an active role in enhancing the national identity of Taiwan’s youth. With the background of the continuously closer relations across the Taiwan Strait, Lien Chan, James Soong, and [Update/Correction, 2010-11-12] Ye Yu / Yok Mu-ming have come to the Zhongshan Mausoleum to pay homage since 2005, and in 2008, Wu Po-hsiung twice led delegations of some 100 people to pay homage.
中山陵园管理局局长王鹏善介绍,自2001年起,中山陵多次举办两岸青少年夏令营活动,为增强台湾青少年民族认同感发挥了积极作用。在两岸联系不断紧密的 背景下,自2005年起,连战、宋楚瑜、郁慕明纷纷前来拜谒中山陵;2008年和2009年,吴伯雄连续两次率100人左右的访问团到此拜谒。

Sun Yat-sen, as the founder of the KMT which ruled China until 1949, and Taiwan for most of the time since 1945 (with two presidential terms served by Chen Shui-bian of the Democratic Progressive Party / DPP in between, from 2001 to 2008), matters most to those Taiwanese who see themselves as Chinese, rather than as Taiwanese nationals. But that doesn’t mean that he would be irrelevant for all members or supporters of the DPP, which seeks more international recognition of Taiwan’s sovereignty. Several years ago, EastSouthWestNorth extensively covered surveys which show that the way the Taiwanese think of themselves isn’t simply “either-or”. The question of statehood, would lead to the choice between Taiwan or the Republic of China. People who think of their cultural background as Chinese don’t necessarily think of themselves as Chinese nationals.

But as Sun Yat-sen’s permanent site is in China, it’s an easy job for Xinhua to imply that visitors to the mausoleum from Taiwan are just visitors from another province.

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Note
*) Sun Zhongshan is the name Sun Yat-sen adopted as a politician – his birth name was 孫逸仙 / Sūn Yìxiān.

Related
Chinese Military Buildup “closely watched”, August 17, 2010
Taiwan News Encyclopedia: Dr. Sun Yat-sen, RTI, Aug. 14, 2010
Sino-Japanese Communiqué: Fully Understood, July 27, 2010

Friday, November 12, 2010

Senkaku Islands: The So-Called Video, and other Mysteries

An unnamed Japanese coast guard  crew member reportedly claims responsibility for leaking video footage about the Senkaku collisions that occured in September this year.

The coast guardsman may be arrested on suspicion of breaking the national public service act,

reckons the Global Times, a CCP mouthpiece, and covers the Chinese foreign ministry’s reaction in another article:

“I would like to reiterate that the Japanese patrol boats had disturbed, driven away, intercepted and surrounded the Chinese fishing boat, which led to the collision,” foreign ministry spokesman Hong Lei said. “The so-called video cannot change the fact and cannot conceal the unlawfulness of the Japanese action.”

Your Beijing Bible: So-Called Video Changeth Nothing

So in short, the video not only changes nothing, but it isn’t even a video. But what then is it in reality?

There is no shortage of interpretations. Pictures are more powerful than words, at least in the mainstream media, and they are more likely to trigger public reactions than any number of legal documents. Tokyo could argue legally, concerning the Senkaku status, and would have a lot of valid points on its side. But the question about “Who rammed who” is much more attractive.

And therefore, the leakage appears to be the right choice in the current propaganda war, no matter if the decision was made by an individual coast guard serviceman, or by the Japanese authorities themselves. It originally seemed that Japan had caved in under Chinese pressure – to the alleged halt to rare earth shipments to Japan (which may still be in effect), and to what has come across to many of the global audience (including this blogger) as the taking of hostages.

The current stress test is revealing – that’s what makes it valuable. Beijing has been badly rammed by his own patriotic fishermen, or so spokesman Hong Lei‘s foot-in-mouth statement (if correctly quoted) would suggest.

Which leads me to two questions: given that the Japanese prosecutors have confirmed that the leaked video is identical with the footage they had been shown during their investigations, can we guess that the Japanese authorities wanted it to be leaked? There didn’t need to be a confirmation after all.

And did Beijing plan the incident to bring the Senkaku issue back to the agenda, exactly by having another of their fishing boats intrude into the Senkaku vicinity? M. J. Klein, a commenter on The View from Taiwan, suggests that

the Chinese vessel has a reinforced bow designed for ramming other vessels. otherwise a full-on collision would collapse the bow.

Hidetoshi Kaneko, a senior expert writer, quotes Chinese military-related websites that the Minjinyu 5179 – the Chinese trawler – had a carbon-steel-reinforced bow, and lists some more mysteries.

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Related
Why Japan claims the Senkaku Islands, Asahi Shimbun, Sept 23, 2010
The EP-3 Incident and what Really Happened, August 2008, 2010

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